PMO-04.08.03 Phase 04: Planning

PROBABILITY AND IMPACT ASSESSMENT

تقييم الاحتمالية والأثر

tasleemat asset PMO-04.08.03 template --lang en

Deliverable Summary & Governance Boundaries

Lifecycle Phase Alignment

Phase 04: Planning

Sizing Tier Requirements

Validation Contract

This deliverable conforms to a strict companion Draft 2020-12 JSON Schema for automated structural and semantic validation.

tasleemat validate PMO-04.08.03 ./completed_data.json

Template Markdown (Bilingual)

<!-- LLM INSTRUCTIONS: Fill in the [ Add details... ] placeholders based on project context.

Section Instructions:
- Assessment Parameters and Scoring Scales: Provide comprehensive project data for all required fields in this section.
- Qualitative Risk Evaluation: Provide comprehensive project data for all required fields in this section.
- Risk Exposure Analysis and Prioritization: Provide comprehensive project data for all required fields in this section.
-->

<h3 align="right">{{Company_Name}}</h3>
<h2 align="right">{{Project_Name}} - {{Project_ID}}</h2>
<h1 align="center">PROBABILITY AND IMPACT ASSESSMENT</h1>

| **Date Prepared:** {{Current_Date}} | **Project Manager:** {{Project_Manager_Name}} | **Prepared By:** {{Prepared_By}} |
| :--- | :--- | :--- |

---

## 1. Assessment Parameters and Scoring Scales

**Probability Scoring Scales and Values:**
[ Add details... ]

**Impact Scoring Scales and Dimensions:**
[ Add details... ]

---

## 2. Qualitative Risk Evaluation

**Risk ID and Event Title:**
[ Add details... ]

**Evaluated Probability and Impact Ratings:**
[ Add details... ]

**Risk Urgency and Proximity Assessment:**
[ Add details... ]

---

## 3. Risk Exposure Analysis and Prioritization

**Composite Risk Exposure Score:**
[ Add details... ]

**Priority Category and Mitigation Urgency:**
[ Add details... ]

---

### Sign-off and Approvals

| Role | Name | Signature | Date |
| :--- | :--- | :---: | :---: |
| **Risk Analyst** | {{Risk_Analyst_Name}} | _______________________ | [ .... - .... - .... ] |
| **Subject Matter Expert** | {{SME_Name}} | _______________________ | [ .... - .... - .... ] |
| **Project Manager** | {{Project_Manager_Name}} | _______________________ | [ .... - .... - .... ] |
---

<div align="right" style="margin-top: 20px; font-size: 12px; color: #7f8c8d;">
  <span>Electronic Audit Trail: Hash SHA256: {{Audit_Trail_SHA256_Hash}}</span> <br>
  <strong>Template:</strong> PROBABILITY AND IMPACT ASSESSMENT | <strong>Ref:</strong> PMO-04.08.03 <br>
  <i>Generated on: {{Current_Timestamp}}, by <a href="https://github.com/fakhruldeen/Tasleemat/" style="color: #7f8c8d;">Tasleemat</a></i>
</div>

User Guide & Practitioner Instructions

Tasleemat Forms Guide

Project Artifact: Probability and Impact Assessment

Document Reference: PMO-04.08.03

This document provides a comprehensive, professional reference to understand the purpose and effective usage of the Probability and Impact Assessment in alignment with the Tasleemat framework.

1. What?

A structured evaluation table documenting probability ratings, multidimensional impacts, urgency, and composite scores.

2. Why?

Focuses project resources and management attention on critical threats while avoiding unnecessary effort on minor risks.

3. When?

Conducted during risk planning and updated whenever new risks are logged or project conditions shift.

4. Who?

Facilitated by Risk Manager and Project Manager with Subject Matter Experts and Task Leads.

Tailoring Tips

Use relative affinity mapping and consensus estimation in agile team risk reviews.
Incorporate strict financial and environmental impact rating scales for industrial construction.

Alignment & Dependencies

1. Pre-requisites & Inputs (Upstream Dependencies)

Mandatory:
- Project Charter (PMO-03.01)
- Assumption Log (PMO-03.03)
- Project Baselines (Scope/Schedule/Cost)
Optional / Contextual:
- AI Governance Plan (PMO-02.02)
- Procurement Strategy (PMO-04.09.02)

2. Downstream Dependents

Mandatory:
- Risk Register (PMO-04.08.02)
- Risk Reports (PMO-04.08.06)
- Risk Audits (PMO-06.06)
Optional / Contextual:
- Risk Mitigation Action Plan (PMO-04.08.07)
- Decision Log (PMO-05.02)

5. How?

To accurately and professionally complete the Probability and Impact Assessment, the responsible party must populate the following critical sections based on the project context (ensure parameters.md is referenced for global project variables):

Probability Scoring Scales and Values: The 1 to 5 numerical scale and percentage probability ranges applied.
Impact Scoring Scales and Dimensions: The 1 to 5 rating scale defining scope, schedule, cost, and quality severity.
Risk ID and Event Title: The unique risk tracking identifier and concise description of the risk event.
Evaluated Probability and Impact Ratings: Individual probability score and assessed impact rating across project dimensions.
Risk Urgency and Proximity Assessment: Time proximity and urgency factor determining how quickly a response is needed.
Composite Risk Exposure Score: Calculated overall risk score (Probability x Impact) placing the risk on the priority ladder.
Priority Category and Mitigation Urgency: Classification into High (Red), Moderate (Yellow), or Low (Green) priority bands.

6. Reference Example

A fully completed, gold-standard reference example illustrating this artifact in practice is available:

📖 Completed Example: 04_08_03_Probability_and_Impact_Assessment_Example.md

LLM Generation Prompt & Agent Instructions

Probability and Impact Assessment - Generation Prompt

System Instructions: This document contains instructions for generating the «Probability and Impact Assessment». When asked to fill this template, follow the section-by-section instructions below. Refer to parameters.md for project variables.

Context and Definition: A qualitative analysis artifact evaluating the likelihood and potential consequence of identified risks to prioritize them for further analysis or response.

Alignment & Dependencies: * Pre-requisites (Inputs): * Mandatory: Project Charter (PMO-03.01), Assumption Log (PMO-03.03), Project Baselines (Scope/Schedule/Cost) * Optional: AI Governance Plan (PMO-02.02), Procurement Strategy (PMO-04.09.02) * Downstream Dependents: * Mandatory: Risk Register (PMO-04.08.02), Risk Reports (PMO-04.08.06), Risk Audits (PMO-06.06) * Optional: Risk Mitigation Action Plan (PMO-04.08.07), Decision Log (PMO-05.02)